The Russian military in Ukraine is apparently moving a third of its forces Eastern To Ukraine Southern Ukraine to defend against Ukrainian attacks from the south.
But it is exposing gaps in Russian defenses in the east. And now the Ukrainian military is reportedly taking advantage of those gaps, especially around Sloviansk and Izium. Killing the Russians where they are not.
However, in suppressing these attacks, the Ukrainians risk overwhelming their own forces.
“Ukrainian forces have taken advantage of the redeployment of Russian forces away from the Sloviansk axis and launched a localized counteroffensive on August 4 to retake land southwest of Isium and northwest of Sloviansk,” Institute for the Study of War in Washington, DC Reported.
An alleged Ukrainian counteroffensive around Izium, reportedly involving the 93rd Brigade and other units, has liberated some villages such as Dibrovne, Mazhanivka and Dmytrivka.
But what is the counteroffensive ISW in the east? is described As a more profound change to Russia’s wider war in Ukraine, which began in late February.
“Ukraine’s preparations for a counteroffensive in Kherson and the initial operations in that counteroffensive, combined with the dramatic weakening of Russian forces generally, appear to be allowing Ukraine to actively shape the course of the war for the first time.”
According to ISW, after five months of sprawling warfare, Kiev finally gained momentum. However, whether the Ukrainian military has the resources is an open question sustain This speed.
It’s clear how we got here. Russia went to war in Ukraine with too few troops to achieve its goals. Only 125 battalion tactical groups, each with 800 or so soldiers and divided into four main thrusts: Kyiv in the north, Kharkiv in the northeast, the liberated parts of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts in the east, and the entire Black Sea coast of Ukraine.
But the Ukrainian army fought hard. Ukraine’s allies provided intelligence and advanced weapons worth billions of dollars. A month later, Russia’s offensive on Kyiv and Kharkiv and the Black Sea coast stopped.
In late March the Kremlin pulled its forces away from Kiev and halted attacks around Kharkiv and the half-occupied coast, moving more than half of the remaining battalions east to complete the occupation of Donetsk and Luhansk.
By early August, the Russian army was spent. He had buried less than 15,000 of his best troops and destroyed thousands of his best tanks, fighting vehicles and artillery. What troops and vehicles remained were concentrated to the east.
Russian officials hastily organized a recruitment drive to form a few new battalions, but planned to deploy them to the front after only a month of training.
Russia’s exhaustion is Ukraine’s opportunity. The Ukrainian 17th Tank Brigade and other units launched a slow counteroffensive toward Kherson, which had been captured on the Black Sea coast in May, taking advantage of the relative scarcity of Russian forces in the area.
The counteroffensive intensified in July as the Ukrainians used their best new American artillery and rocket supply dumps, bridges and Cars Behind Russian lines, constant starvation and quarantine of the Russian 49th Combined Arms Army in and around Kherson.
The Kremlin responded by moving troops again – this time from the east to the south. “Russia’s war on Ukraine is about to enter a new phase,” by the UK Ministry of Defence said.
More than a dozen of the approximately 50 battalion tactical groups in the east were traveling by rail toward Kherson, stopping occasionally as the Ukrainians destroyed bridges or cut railroad tracks.
How much combat power these reinforcements have after five months of hard fighting remains an open question.
In any case, the Russians this spring thinned the southern front to harden the eastern front, allowing the Ukrainians to counterattack southward. Now the Russians are thinning the eastern front to shore up the southern front – and the Ukrainians are also counterattacking in the east.
Retired Australian Army General Mick Ryan is described Ukraine’s strategy as one of “rust”. “This strategy of corrosion sees Ukraine attacking the Russians where they are weak.”
If there is a threat to Ukraine, it is its military Also is tired. Ukraine has a geographical and morale advantage over Russia, yes. But Ukraine is still a much smaller and poorer country than Russia – and its army is smaller. If raw numbers of troops and tanks decide the winner of this war, the outcome will be clear.
They don’t. But that doesn’t mean numbers don’t matter. Ukraine has done some damage to itself by pushing reserves and local regional forces into combat and leaning on saboteurs to overcome Russian occupation forces.
Those forces would struggle to sustain a fierce counteroffensive, said retired US Army General Mark Hertling Explained. “for [Ukrainian army] The relatively untrained terrain and mixed resistance forces would make it difficult to launch a deliberate attack.
Maybe Ukraine has the momentum now. But that momentum can’t be sustained if Ukraine can’t muster the fighting power to press its advantages — and defeat the Russians where the Russians are weakest.