Split within Russian-led forces threatens to blunt Russian war effort, says ISW

A Russian missile dump in Kharkiv

“LPR” fighters recently rebelled amid heavy losses of the Russian invasion force in the war against Ukraine.

Also read: Russian invaders are conducting offensive operations in several areas in Donbas, General Staff says

Their rebellion was prompted by the Russian leadership’s decision to send troops from another sham state, the “Donetsk People’s Republic” (“DPR”), to reinforce them.

ISW experts recall several other cases when Kremlin-controlled proxy forces refused to fight outside Donetsk or Luhansk Oblasts.

Also read: Russian invaders can no longer bring military hardware over bridges in Kherson Oblast, Ukraine’s military says

“Further divisions among Russian-led forces are feared to further hamper the effectiveness of the Russian war effort,” the report said.

Other conclusions of ISW analysts about the situation in Ukraine in the past days:

  • Russian forces attempted several limited ground attacks northwest of Sloviansk;

  • Russian forces carried out several offensive operations east and southeast of Siversk and northeast and southeast of Bakhmut;

  • Russian forces continued offensive operations northwest, west, and southwest of Donetsk city;

  • Russian forces attack limited land north of Kharkiv city;

  • Russian and Ukrainian forces continued to trade accusations of shelling the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant.

  • St. Petersburg authorities officially refused to call local men to military recruitment and enlistment centers to discuss contract service.

  • Russian merchants continued to prepare for the annexation of the occupied territories of Ukraine to Russia.

Russia’s war against Ukraine: Map of hostilities

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Battle for Donbass

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Battles in Kharkiv Oblast

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Battles in Southern Ukraine: Kherson, Mykolaiv Oblast

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